[unav_all] AGU Fall Meeting 2013 Session V042: Uncertainty Quantification in Natural Hazards Characterization

Peter Webley pwebley at gi.alaska.edu
Wed Jul 24 12:46:15 MDT 2013


Dear Colleagues,

We are please to announce and encourage you to submit an abstract to the 
AGU session*V042: Uncertainty Quantification in Natural Hazards 
Characterization.* We look forward to seeing submissions from all the 
different co-sponsoring sections and for interesting discussions at the 
poster sessions.

See you there.

_Session Description_

Modeling has been used in characterization and mapping of natural 
hazards and hazards susceptibility for many decades now. Only recently 
has quantification of uncertainty in the modeling of natural hazards 
become increasingly important as computational power increases. Many 
characterizations of uncertainty have relied on well established Monte 
Carlo (MC) techniques of parameter space sampling, although new 
paradigms are starting to emerge in hazards analysis. Researchers from 
volcanology, and severe storm, landslide and flood analysis and other 
fields are welcomed to compare results from MC and novel methodologies 
to characterize uncertainty and properly develop three and four 
dimensional understanding of event probability.
_
_Sponsoring Section: Volcanology, Geochemistry, and Petrology (V)
Co-sponsoring Sections: Atmospheric Sciences (A), Hydrology (H, Natural 
Hazards (NH)_
_SWIRL: Characterizing Uncertainty_

Conveners

_Marcus Bursik (University at Buffalo)
Abani Patra (University at Buffalo)
Peter Webley (University of Alaska, Fairbanks)

Remember Deadline: All abstract submissions must be received by 6 August 
2013 at 23:59ET/3:59+1 GMT.

-- 
Peter Webley
Geophysical Institute
University of Alaska Fairbanks
Fairbanks
Alaska
USA. 99775
Tel no: +1 907 474 1542
Fax no: +1 907 474 7290

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